Reporter's Notebook

The art and science of the interview

Drake’s Equation applied to Piers Morgan

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Drake’s Equation basically says that for any population, the most relevant within that population is determined by an increasingly specific set of parameters.  Piers Morgan and his unique sensibilities is enjoying the sturm and drang he has whipped up among some of my countrymen and countrywomen.  And he took to Twitter to rub our noses in it.  But, he misspoke as pundits and politicians often do when using numbers and people to justify something.

So to apply Drake’s Equation to his post that “Still only 90,000 Americans have signed the White House petition to deport me. That leaves 310,910,00 who presumably want me to stay.” … uh, not exactly.

Take the total population of the United States – 312 million

  • Subtract children who likely don’t know or care about him – ~105 million
  • Subtract elderly who likely don’t know or care about him ~85 million
  • Subtract those not in the above groups which include the mentally ill, the incarcerated, the homeless or others who don’t know or care about him – ~15 million
  • Subtract those not in the above groups who are working their asses off trying to sustain their families and don’t have the time to watch pundits pontificate – ~50 million
  • Subtract those not in the above groups who might not have the means to watch Piers Morgan, i.e., the $ for cable, for example – ~10 million
  • Subtract those not in the above groups who will watch anything besides Piers Morgan – ~30 million
  • Subtract those not in the above group who may watch Piers Morgan but not care enough about him to sign a petition to deport him – ~17 million

What remains is about 90,000 plus a few especially vocal folks on Twitter and Facebook. So if 95,000 or so represents all of the people who are truly relevant, can anybody say, “Plane Ticket?”  Just sayin.

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Written by Interviewer

December 29, 2012 at 05:11

Posted in Scratchpad

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